Disclaimer: This interview is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a basis for investment decisions. In Practise is an independent publisher and all opinions expressed by guests are solely their own opinions and do not reflect the opinion of In Practise.
Yes, that's correct.
Yes. Airbus tends to dual-source more than Boeing does. The strategy was to understand the value we were providing to Airbus relative to our competitor. Airbus was trying to commoditize us for their benefit. We had to consider our delivery, operational performance, and the features of our devices. This situation did put pressure on pricing, as it does whenever you have multiple bidders.
Indeed, the higher the cost to the buyer, be it Airbus or another company, there is a benefit in trying to reduce those costs. I've observed this with Airbus, outside of my experience with Korry. They apply the same principle to other components and equipment outside the cockpit. However, they don't apply it universally, and I can't provide insight into why they make the decisions they do. It seems to be more of a strategy that Airbus pursues than Boeing.
That's confidential information I'm not at liberty to share.
It would depend on which TransDigm company we're talking about. There are certainly some TransDigm companies that probably have much larger ship sets than Korry. Maybe not in terms of the number of pieces, but in terms of the overall value. It's been a while, so I can't really compare one to the other in terms of the overall price or cost of an aircraft. Korry is relatively small. There are components like landing gear and engines that obviously cost a lot more.
Yes, and there are probably other factors. Now we're starting to discuss Airbus's decision-making process and why they do the things they do, which is a bit outside my area of expertise. There could be many different factors at play. For instance, the ease of dual sourcing, things like fuselage have a huge cost. But people aren't going to dual source that because it's simply not easy to do. Plus, there are other costs, like capital, that come into play. Sometimes it's not just about the cost of acquisition, but also the ease of doing so. Interchangeability sometimes comes into play, like with interiors, which Korry didn't sell. Sometimes it comes down to the preference of who airlines like to work with and many other factors.
That could indeed be a factor, yes.
If Airbus, for instance, has a supplier and wants to add a second one, that's what we're discussing. This process is generally the same for all companies. Each Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM), whether it's Honeywell or another, has their unique steps and decision-making matrices. Once they've identified an opportunity, they'll issue a Request for Proposal (RFP). In aerospace, this usually involves a commercial proposal and a technical proposal. These might be combined or separate, depending on the company or government.
If the companies don't already have a contract with the OEM, the RFP will include their latest terms and conditions. For companies like Airbus and Boeing, there'll be multiple contracts due to aftermarket support contracts and others. The RFP will also include specifications about the product. All parties have to respond to this RFP.
The timing of the RFP depends on the contract with the existing suppliers. If the contracts are sole source or exclusive, the RFP might have to coincide with the contract's expiration. There might also be performance-related factors that could potentially break the contract. This affects the timing. The specific wording in the contract determines whether the contract can be sole sourced. After the RFP is issued, bidders prepare and submit their proposals.
Could you please repeat the question?
If both suppliers have contracts, they are not second-sourced, meaning they are not replacing TransDigm, but both supply parts. This is an assumption and depends on the specifics of the sourcing strategy. In some cases, the OEM might decide to source a certain number of parts from both suppliers for various reasons, such as capacity guarantees or beneficial pricing.
For instance, if Triumph offers a better price, the OEM might push more supply to them and TransDigm would get less. There could be numerous reasons for choosing one supplier over the other. It might be that one supplier fails to deliver on time and the other can provide more. I've encountered combinations of these situations throughout my career at TransDigm and other companies.
There are also instances where the OEMs have arrangements allowing the airlines to select their preference. This happens frequently with interiors, sometimes purchased by the airline and shipped to the OEM for installation. Other times, the OEM purchases and supplies the part based on the airline's preference. In such cases, the sale tends to focus more on the airline as we try to convince them to use our product and instruct Boeing or Airbus to use us.
Yes, that's correct.
I'm not sure how common it is, but throughout my career, I've seen all the scenarios I just mentioned.
It depends on the term I mentioned earlier, interchangeability. If the products are truly interchangeable, certified as such, then in theory, they could do that. But then you start to get into the system. There are a lot of technical factors that come into play then, and how it was certified could influence their ability to do that.
Indeed, rolling dash numbers can have an impact. Although it's not really a system-level concern, it does have an effect.
System-level issues might include, for example, let's discuss aircraft interiors. Let's say you have two different companies supplying seats, Collins and Safran. Both produce seats and tray tables. However, the way the tray tables for Safran attach might be different from the ones for Collins, and they might not work together even though they're both tray tables. This is a system-level issue. Third parties can come in and replace parts, but the individual components, the line replaceable units (LRUs), might not be interchangeable, even though the systems could be selected by either an airline or the OEM to be installed.
I can't speak for the other operating units as I'm not familiar with them.
Yes, everyone focuses on LRUs. However, it would be challenging for someone to do that with Korry. If we consider the systems that Korry provides, for example, for the Boeing 787, the cockpit's overhead panel is delivered as a whole to Boeing for installation, unlike the older models where each switch was installed independently. This makes it more difficult for someone to replace parts because the individual switch is unique and can be replaced and fixed, but it's part of a larger system.
The decision was made before my time at Korry.
Yes.
The process wasn't more challenging than any other. The capacity to adjust pricing was different due to the added pressure. However, when updating even a sole-source contract, there's always a risk that if we increase the price too much, they might give the contract to another company to design and certify the equipment. This is always a possibility. Especially for high volume aircraft like Boeing's 737 and 787. The risk is much higher for these than for an out-of-production plane that only requires spares and is an old platform with few in flight. There's more flexibility in the latter case. That's just how it works when you're manufacturing 40 a month. The amortization period is much shorter.
I'm not entirely sure, as I don't recall that being a significant issue. We didn't discuss it much, which is likely why I don't remember.
Our products performed exceptionally well. They were reliable and favored by pilots, which mattered once they were installed. Bigger threats were probably things like PMA parts. Safran also had to maintain a certain level in the aftermarket. However, a PMA supplier could potentially come in at a much lower price if they could reverse engineer it and pass all the hurdles, creating more pressure. That was a bigger threat than worrying about Safran starting a price war.
For Korry's parts, we didn't see any evidence of that. It was a topic of discussion and speculation, but we didn't see any signs of Airbus or Boeing proactively trying to develop such a strategy. We knew it happened at airlines. You can predict who should be purchasing how much based on fleet sizes in the industry. Some airlines weren't buying enough parts, leading us to believe they had found a PMA source. We didn't always know who those were, but it did happen. As for other areas, I'm speculating about Boeing and Airbus's behavior and may not have the same insight.
On the commercial side of Boeing or Airbus, they need to exercise caution. This is because promoting something that could potentially take away the aftermarket from their suppliers could complicate future contract negotiations. However, when you consider the aftermarket divisions of Boeing and Airbus, they operate independently, acting like distributors. They aim to find the cheapest parts and secure the best deals, and I believe they will do whatever they can.
Historically, that wasn't something Corey frequently did.
Yes, at that time, we felt there were bigger threats. Whether that has changed since I left, I'm not sure. But back then, we believed we had larger opportunities and risks in other areas.
We were focused on developing other product lines. We were very confident about our core components business and our market position, and we were aiming to expand in other areas.
Yes.
Certainly. One of the contracts we're discussing involved a product from an existing line that had been in the business for several years. We were facing a number of obsolescence issues and believed there was an opportunity to provide a more modular product. The aim was to reduce our design costs for new contracts instead of starting from scratch each time. We invested in R&D before TransDigm acquired Esterline and began to develop that product. That's one of the sales that resulted from the new design that addressed obsolescence issues and allowed for a more modular approach for quicker design cycles.
Yes, a modernization of it.
Yes, and it will also make us more appealing to other larger market segments. The product I'm referring to was not for commercial aircraft.
A significant portion was due to value-based pricing.
He didn't?
Yes, of course. Our approach was to understand our product's position in the market, the risk of losing the product, and what we could do in terms of pricing. We didn't simply increase everything by a certain percentage. We took a more nuanced approach. We evaluated different areas, assessed the product's value on the platform, and then determined what we believed the product's value should be for various reasons. As you mentioned, you're familiar with value-based pricing, so we made adjustments based on that.
As a result, our prices varied greatly. Some prices remained the same, some might have even decreased, though I can't recall any specific instances. In some cases, we had tough negotiations with a customer where we were losing money on a contract. The last time the contract was up for negotiation, several years prior, the pricing remained the same, and we were still losing money. In such cases, we had to implement a more aggressive price increase because it didn't make sense for us to continue selling the product. We conducted a lot of analysis to determine a price point that would allow us to make a profit and potentially win the contract. But we were also prepared to lose the contract if necessary.
In this case, it was for a new production aircraft. Actually, it was an out-of-production aircraft, but it was not an operator.
The aircraft is no longer being produced, but it's still in operation.
No, it's not always the case.
I'm not referring to commercial aircraft, but other types of aircraft.
Depending on different parts of the market and different contracts, some allow you to sell directly to the operators and some don't.
In this particular case, that's how it works.
There was nothing that increased tenfold. I can't think of any product that had such a significant increase. As for the percentage, I can't really provide a breakdown on that. In terms of part numbers, I believe most of them had increases below 10%.
Yes, I believe so. I can't recall exactly. It's been five years since we first started.
No, you misunderstood. You were asking about the percentage of products that had price changes.
Yes, and you were asking me to categorize the percentages in each category. Okay, I misunderstood.
I believe more than half of the part numbers had price increases below 10%.
I think so. It's been a while.
Forget about a tenfold increase. Yes, I agree. I don't remember anything that increased anywhere near tenfold.
The impact varied. Some OEMs didn't experience any change, and the same goes for airline parts that we sold directly to airlines. It wasn't a universal effect. The price increase depended on the part numbers, particularly for those associated with low-volume parts that had been in operation for many years and weren't being used on new production aircraft. Those prices might have increased more due to a variety of reasons.
For instance, as I mentioned earlier, one reason could be that our costs were higher. We weren't producing many of these parts anymore, and we needed to increase the price to continue production. While people needed the parts, we also couldn't afford to produce them at a loss.
I had the opportunity to work with Bob and presented to him on several occasions. Joel was our Executive Vice President at the time, and although I knew of Mike, I didn't interact with him much. I also met others during various quarterly reviews. They are all highly intelligent and capable individuals. I learned a great deal from them; they have a deep understanding of business and are adept at identifying problem areas during reviews.
Upon acquisition, there's an immediate introduction to the three P's and TransDigm's approach. This starts on day one, with multiple touch points and training sessions, not just for the executives, but for the entire business. I believe it was Bob who presented to the entire business on the first day. Joel also provided training on various aspects of TransDigm, pricing, productivity, and more.
The quarterly business reviews are also a continuous form of indoctrination. It's not just about presenting; you also get to observe others present, which is a learning experience. While the departure of people like Bob and others brings a new wave and potential risks, the focus remains on TransDigm's approach.
At one quarterly review, a movie was shown featuring different site presidents discussing a topic I can't recall. There's an old saying at TransDigm, "If you're not working on one of the three P's, you might as well go play golf." This was echoed by every president in their interviews, demonstrating how deeply ingrained this philosophy is.
Everyone has their own style. Bob had a very soothing approach, almost like a radio announcer. Joel's approach was slightly different, but I can't quite put it into words.
I would say, yes, when comparing and contrasting, Bob was always someone who seemed to just know. He'd seen it, been there, and understood. He had a slightly more grandfatherly approach, even though it was very clear. I remember the very first annual plan we did. He had a way of saying things that were very direct and ensured you knew that you were accountable. He would talk about your business plan in a way that was very clear about where you stood, but it felt somewhat grandfatherly. However, it was very clear what the rules were. Joel, on the other hand, is a bit more intense.
Are you referring to other businesses?
I don't recall that topic coming up very often.
During the time I was there, the most challenging part was integrating the new approach. When I came in, I had a different role and got promoted to be the VP of Sales. The approach that Esterline had was very different. For example, we had a contract where we didn't raise prices, even though we were losing money because people were worried about losing volume. So, I had to take three people who were new business unit managers, who hadn't been exposed to the financial requirements of understanding a P&L, hadn't been tasked with running their business unit prior, and help coach and mentor them. At the same time, I had to get our data flipped over to work like TransDigm likes to see it, with the breakdowns of the market segments, price, and market volume. All these things were different than how Esterline did it. I had to clean up data so that it was more efficient, and we could do those things. Also, I had to address all the new negotiations and pricing, and try to get people to work in the new TransDigm approach. That was the most difficult thing I had to do because it had to be done quickly.
At Korry, we had a very good team dynamic. The person responsible for operations and I, along with the rest of the senior staff, had a great working relationship. We collaborated effectively and worked through problems together. Despite each of us having our own issues, we managed to work through them as a cohesive and productive team.
Champion, for one, had an excellent reputation. I can't recall if I ever saw them present, but they were highly regarded. There was another company that specialized in interior panels, but I can't remember their name. Their president was also highly respected.
The reputation was more about the management team's ability to deliver results, rather than the importance of the product. It was crucial to know where your numbers were coming from and understand what was happening in the business.
For instance, in 2020, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the vice presidents of sales, instead of the business unit managers, presented all of the business units during the annual plan review. This change was made because it was deemed important for the VPs of sales to have a deep understanding of the business.
So, to answer your question, the management teams of these other businesses were considered good because they had a firm grasp on their business and could explain their performance, whether good or bad.
During my time at Korry, we were never removed from a platform.
I did not panic. Of course, there was a lot of uncertainty and concern. I can only speak for myself and how I approached it. I've always been one to face problems head-on, work hard, figure it out, and get through it. That's just my personality. We spent a lot of time trying to predict what would happen to airline sales and the impact on our business, including our employees.
However, it was never a 'sky is falling' situation. We knew that our business wouldn't drop to zero because Korry has a lot of business in the military and business jets sectors, among others. So, unlike some businesses that were almost purely airline-centered, we weren't in a state of panic. There was a lot of uncertainty and a lot of effort to make sense of the situation.
One thing I appreciated was TransDigm's approach. Some businesses I've worked with in the past would set a bar and tell you to figure it out, which during the pandemic would have been unrealistic. TransDigm, however, acknowledged that people were going to miss targets due to the uncontrollable nature of the pandemic. They asked us to aim for the EBITDA percent instead of the EBITDA dollars, understanding that for some businesses, even that would be impossible. For instance, businesses that were almost 100% airline-based would have to apply different rules. That was the approach we adopted, and we tried to devise a strategy to hit that percentage.
So, you're asking how to dismantle a company?
Well, if we consider market share, Korry is prevalent in almost all aircraft in the western world, with the exception of some European defense aircraft. They're not on those, but they're on almost everything else. So, changing a lot of aircraft would be challenging. Korry has also been delivering parts since the 1930s. There are many old aircraft with Korry parts that will continue flying for a long time. These parts are high margin because they are expensive and produced in small quantities. It wouldn't make sense for someone to redesign a replacement because only a few are bought each year. So, it's a very diversified market or product type.
Commercial airlines are a significant part of their business. I don't recall the exact percentage, but it's substantial. If you could hypothetically make Boeing and Airbus commercial disappear, particularly Boeing, that would cause significant damage. Boeing buys at a very low rate, so the margins aren't always great. But if all the airlines disappeared, that would certainly hurt.
Is it realistic to think that Boeing would manage two suppliers, considering the cost and logistics involved? Although the switches on an aircraft are small compared to avionics or other systems, adding another logistics chain could be a significant effort.
Furthermore, there's the investment in time for a design cycle. While it's not as lengthy as developing a new engine or landing gear, there is still a test period that would involve Boeing. They would likely need to conduct a flight test, which is quite expensive. Justifying a flight test solely for Korry switches would be difficult. It would probably need to coincide with a major upgrade, like a blockpoint style upgrade for the overall cockpit.
Yes, potentially. However, it's worth noting that Calspan is now owned by TransDigm, which could add to the expense. For a chip set like Korry's, it's theoretically possible, but where does it rank in terms of return on investment?
It depends on the certification. If you go to a new model, theoretically everything has to be PMA for that model because the requirements could be different.
The challenge for PMA is proving that they still meet the requirements, which can be difficult without the necessary information. Typically, they partner with airlines to get this information. However, in theory, it can be done. If you have the same part number on different planes, like a Cessna 167 and a 737, it makes the process much easier.
No, PMA was not one of my main concerns at that time.
Indeed, lease companies requiring OEM replacement parts is definitely a benefit.
I can't definitively say whether it's a real thing or not as I haven't seen those contracts. What I can say is that different airlines, even legacy ones, have varying approaches. For instance, Southwest is very aggressive on PMA, while others aren't. There's no contractual reason for this; it's just their strategy. There are many factors at play, including supply chain decisions, buyer relationships, and preferences for OEM parts.
I believe it's a long-term trend. When we think about cockpits in general, there are other technologies to consider. For example, if you compare a cockpit from the 70s to a modern one like the 777x or the 787, you'll notice a significant reduction in switches and indicators. This trend continues with newer platforms like Gulfstream, which Korry is involved with, where even more switches have been replaced with touchscreen displays. However, some switches will remain due to certification requirements. The bigger impact will be how OEMs utilize new technologies to reduce the number of switches in future platforms. Additionally, the push towards fewer pilots in cockpits could also affect this trend.
We were really trying to understand the trends you mentioned, which are a decade out. We were trying to determine what it would look like, how threatening it could be, and how we should position ourselves. There were many early conversations and hypothetical scenarios.
Are you asking why they acquired the companies they did?
In terms of the strategy of why they bought AvTech versus another company, it didn't necessarily feel like a strategic platform approach. It felt more like they were seizing opportunities to add on. Their strategy was always about the percentage of proprietary products or products that include proprietary information. That's a part of their strategy they're very public about. From that perspective, it made a lot of sense. I appreciate that approach, as I'm currently looking at smaller businesses to buy. I consider the balance between proprietary and build-to-print products. In terms of individual acquisitions, it sometimes felt opportunistic, but I believe that's part of the nature of the business.
I think that overall, the decisions they made up until they bought Esterline were good acquisitions. With Esterline, because it was a larger conglomerate, it came with a few business units that didn't fit within TransDigm's business model. They sold those off, which made sense. When they decided to sell off two or three businesses, it was clear that they were not going to stay, which made sense.
Each unit had its unique points and issues. Some were military companies, and their issues were quite different from ours, with some overlap. Each unit was unique in its own way.
One of the positive aspects about TransDigm was their understanding that different companies have different market dynamics. In some companies I've worked with in the past, there was this expectation that everyone was supposed to improve by a certain amount. TransDigm, however, understood that the level of aggression needed to be realistically set, and it would vary. For instance, it would be different for a company like Airborne Systems, which makes parachutes, compared to Champion.
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The executive has 25 years experience in aerospace and is the Former VP at TransDigm, joining after the Esterline acquisition. He worked at Korry Electronics.
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